표 8 그랜저 인과관계 분석 결과
H0 | Lag=1 | Lag=2 |
F-value | p-value | F-value | p-value |
d_rent | ⇏ fund_ave | 0.02 | 0.89 | 0.12 | 0.88 |
d_kospi | ⇏ fund_ave | 4.29 | 0.04* | 2.59 | 0.09 |
d_interest | ⇏ fund_ave | 3.73 | 0.06 | 2.52 | 0.09 |
d_credit | ⇏ fund_ave | 0.43 | 0.52 | 0.30 | 0.75 |
d_bond | ⇏ fund_ave | 7.91 | 0.01* | 3.68 | 0.03* |
fund_ave | ⇏ d_bond | 3.43 | 0.07 | 1.83 | 0.17 |
d_credit | ⇏ d_bond | 1.32 | 0.26 | 1.31 | 0.28 |
d_interest | ⇏ d_bond | 1.57 | 0.22 | 5.95 | 0.01* |
d_kospi | ⇏ d_bond | 0.21 | 0.65 | 0.83 | 0.44 |
d_rent | ⇏ d_bond | 0.29 | 0.59 | 0.16 | 0.86 |
fund_ave | ⇏ d_credit | 0.19 | 0.67 | 0.19 | 0.83 |
d_bond | ⇏ d_credit | 0.24 | 0.63 | 0.68 | 0.51 |
d_interest | ⇏ d_credit | 0.50 | 0.48 | 2.02 | 0.15 |
d_rent | ⇏ d_credit | 0.02 | 0.89 | 0.04 | 0.96 |
d_kospi | ⇏ d_credit | 2.21 | 0.14 | 0.54 | 0.59 |
fund_ave | ⇏ d_interest | 0.13 | 0.72 | 0.28 | 0.75 |
d_bond | ⇏ d_interest | 5.05 | 0.03* | 3.05 | 0.06 |
d_credit | ⇏ d_interest | 8.22 | 0.01* | 4.63 | 0.02* |
d_kospi | ⇏ d_interest | 8.40 | 0.01* | 3.76 | 0.03* |
d_rent | ⇏ d_interest | 0.75 | 0.39 | 0.80 | 0.46 |
fund_ave | ⇏ d_kospi | 0.31 | 0.58 | 0.50 | 0.61 |
d_bond | ⇏ d_kospi | 0.24 | 0.63 | 1.03 | 0.37 |
d_credit | ⇏ d_kospi | 3.35 | 0.07 | 2.96 | 0.06 |
d_interest | ⇏ d_kospi | 3.99 | 0.05* | 1.60 | 0.21 |
d_rent | ⇏ d_kospi | 0.09 | 0.76 | 1.33 | 0.28 |
fund_ave | ⇏ d_rent | 0.78 | 0.38 | 1.26 | 0.30 |
d_bond | ⇏ d_rent | 0.24 | 0.63 | 0.66 | 0.52 |
d_credit | ⇏ d_rent | 0.37 | 0.55 | 1.01 | 0.37 |
d_interest | ⇏ d_rent | 2.06 | 0.16 | 1.76 | 0.18 |
d_kospi | ⇏ d_rent | 0.23 | 0.64 | 1.20 | 0.31 |
주 : p<0.1.