표 8 그랜저 인과관계 분석 결과

H0 Lag=1 Lag=2
F-value p-value F-value p-value
d_rent ⇏ fund_ave 0.02 0.89 0.12 0.88
d_kospi ⇏ fund_ave 4.29 0.04* 2.59 0.09
d_interest ⇏ fund_ave 3.73 0.06 2.52 0.09
d_credit ⇏ fund_ave 0.43 0.52 0.30 0.75
d_bond ⇏ fund_ave 7.91 0.01* 3.68 0.03*
fund_ave ⇏ d_bond 3.43 0.07 1.83 0.17
d_credit ⇏ d_bond 1.32 0.26 1.31 0.28
d_interest ⇏ d_bond 1.57 0.22 5.95 0.01*
d_kospi ⇏ d_bond 0.21 0.65 0.83 0.44
d_rent ⇏ d_bond 0.29 0.59 0.16 0.86
fund_ave ⇏ d_credit 0.19 0.67 0.19 0.83
d_bond ⇏ d_credit 0.24 0.63 0.68 0.51
d_interest ⇏ d_credit 0.50 0.48 2.02 0.15
d_rent ⇏ d_credit 0.02 0.89 0.04 0.96
d_kospi ⇏ d_credit 2.21 0.14 0.54 0.59
fund_ave ⇏ d_interest 0.13 0.72 0.28 0.75
d_bond ⇏ d_interest 5.05 0.03* 3.05 0.06
d_credit ⇏ d_interest 8.22 0.01* 4.63 0.02*
d_kospi ⇏ d_interest 8.40 0.01* 3.76 0.03*
d_rent ⇏ d_interest 0.75 0.39 0.80 0.46
fund_ave ⇏ d_kospi 0.31 0.58 0.50 0.61
d_bond ⇏ d_kospi 0.24 0.63 1.03 0.37
d_credit ⇏ d_kospi 3.35 0.07 2.96 0.06
d_interest ⇏ d_kospi 3.99 0.05* 1.60 0.21
d_rent ⇏ d_kospi 0.09 0.76 1.33 0.28
fund_ave ⇏ d_rent 0.78 0.38 1.26 0.30
d_bond ⇏ d_rent 0.24 0.63 0.66 0.52
d_credit ⇏ d_rent 0.37 0.55 1.01 0.37
d_interest ⇏ d_rent 2.06 0.16 1.76 0.18
d_kospi ⇏ d_rent 0.23 0.64 1.20 0.31
주 : p<0.1.